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Updating conditions · Calibrated break

Bells Beach

Victoria, Australia · Point break

Local time

14:00

Sunrise

06:03

Sunset

18:25

Data source

Preview

Wave height

1.9m

Excellent · 96/100

Primary swell

1.6 m

12s · W

Wind

3 km/h

Cross-shore · E

Sea

18.2°C

3/2 mm suit

Tide

Falling

+0.1 m · Low 17:00

Preview guidance updated now

Forecast integrity.

Every recommendation carries its source state, model coverage and sampling context.

45% model coverageNearest sea-grid sample

Model agreement

—

Comparison unavailable

Cross-model consensus

The primary forecast remains available without a cross-model signal.

ECMWFMétéo-FranceNOAA

Wave spread

—

Period spread

—

Horizon

—

Preview

Marine

Deterministic preview guidance

Preview

Wind & weather

Deterministic preview guidance

Preview

Tide context

Modelled preview phase

Checking

Ocean station

Independent observation used when a suitable station is available.

Forecast Trust 2.0

Cleaner signal needed

WAIT

Hold for a fresher or better-aligned window.

Surf 98/100Confidence 37%
Decision layer

Why this call.

A conservative read of forecast quality, independent observations, model spread and the exact break profile.

Now

Best window

17:00–20:00

Epic · 1.5–1.5 m · good tide fit

Model agreement

Comparison pending

A single-model forecast is available without a cross-check.

Observed ocean

Checking nearby stations

Looking for an independent real-ocean signal.

Break profile

Spot calibrated

Bells Beach · <1 km model sample · 45% coverage

Confidence · next 24 hours

Higher bars mean a cleaner model signal

14:00
·
18:00
·
22:00
·
02:00
·
06:00
·
10:00
·

Hourly forecast

The next 48 hours

14:00

12s

3 km/h

18:00

13s

7 km/h

22:00

13s

11 km/h

02:00

14s

15 km/h

06:00

13s

14 km/h

10:00

13s

11 km/h

14:00

13s

6 km/h

18:00

12s

3 km/h

22:00

11s

4 km/h

02:00

10s

7 km/h

06:00

10s

12 km/h

10:00

9s

15 km/h

Tide intelligence

Read the water.

Tide phase, speed and range interpreted through this break's own profile, with offshore-current context and buoy verification.

Water level now

Mid · falling

+0.1 m

relative to MSL

Motion

Fast fall

-0.57 m/h

Next turn

Low · 17:00

In 3 hours

24h range

2.3 m

Mesotidal

Offshore current

0.43 km/h

Flowing W

Spot tide profile · Adaptive

Low to mid

Good now

The baseline follows The Bowl; Winki Pop and Rincon can respond differently.

Profile source · Griffith University coastal report

Low

28 Mon · 17:00

-1.1 m

High

28 Mon · 23:00

+1.1 m

Low

29 Tue · 05:00

-1.1 m

High

29 Tue · 12:00

+1.1 m

Tide sync windows

Best upcoming tide phases for this break

Tide fit only · waves and wind scored separately

GoodFalling

28 Mon

14:00–16:00 · -0.5 m

GoodFalling

29 Tue

02:00–04:00 · -0.4 m

GoodRising

29 Tue

19:00–21:00 · -0.4 m

Tides and currents use the Météo-France global ocean model via Open-Meteo at roughly 8 km resolution. Sea level includes tide and atmospheric effects and is referenced to global mean sea level, not a local chart datum. Coastal accuracy is limited; never use this for navigation.

7-day outlook

Pick your day.

Today

2.3 m

12s · W

Excellent · 96

29 Tue

2.2 m

12s · W

Excellent · 96

30 Wed

2.1 m

11s · W

Excellent · 92

The break

Point break

Intermediate. Works best with S-SW swell.

Timing

Dawn patrol

Usually the cleanest wind window. Re-check local observations before you paddle out.

Data note

Fallback preview

Wave guidance, tide phase and offshore currents are modelled unless a nearby buoy observation is shown.