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Updating conditions · Calibrated break

Praia do Tonel

Southern Europe, Portugal · Beach break

Local time

15:00

Sunrise

07:29

Sunset

19:26

Data source

Preview

Wave height

2.3m

Excellent · 96/100

Primary swell

1.9 m

12s · W

Wind

3 km/h

Offshore · E

Sea

18.2°C

3/2 mm suit

Tide

Falling

+1.0 m · Low 20:00

Preview guidance updated now

Forecast integrity.

Every recommendation carries its source state, model coverage and sampling context.

45% model coverageNearest sea-grid sample

Model agreement

—

Comparison unavailable

Cross-model consensus

The primary forecast remains available without a cross-model signal.

ECMWFMétéo-FranceNOAA

Wave spread

—

Period spread

—

Horizon

—

Preview

Marine

Deterministic preview guidance

Preview

Wind & weather

Deterministic preview guidance

Preview

Tide context

Modelled preview phase

Checking

Ocean station

Independent observation used when a suitable station is available.

Forecast Trust 2.0

Cleaner signal needed

WAIT

Hold for a fresher or better-aligned window.

Surf 98/100Confidence 42%
Decision layer

Why this call.

A conservative read of forecast quality, independent observations, model spread and the exact break profile.

Now

Best window

16:00–19:00

Epic · 2.3–2.3 m · good tide fit

Model agreement

Comparison pending

A single-model forecast is available without a cross-check.

Observed ocean

Checking nearby stations

Looking for an independent real-ocean signal.

Break profile

Spot calibrated

Praia do Tonel · <1 km model sample · 45% coverage

Confidence · next 24 hours

Higher bars mean a cleaner model signal

15:00
·
19:00
·
23:00
·
03:00
·
07:00
·
11:00
·
Spot calibratedSpot-calibrated profile

Spot intelligence.

A compact Sagres beach with strong exposure, rock margins and fast-changing wind around the headland.

Profile source · Visit Portugal national surf guide
NS

Calibrated geometry

Faces SW · 245°

Clean offshore axis NE · Intermediate profile

Wave

Punchy left + right peaks below the fort

Sand with rock margins

Swell window

W–SW

0.7–2.3 m profile range

Clean wind

NE–E offshore

Applied to wind scoring

Tide window

Mid tide · rising

Profile-aware timing

Know before you paddle

Live conditions and local advice always override this profile.

Rip currentsRock marginsFast shorebreakConfined takeoff

Hourly forecast

The next 48 hours

15:00

12s

3 km/h

19:00

13s

7 km/h

23:00

13s

11 km/h

03:00

14s

15 km/h

07:00

13s

14 km/h

11:00

13s

11 km/h

15:00

13s

6 km/h

19:00

12s

3 km/h

23:00

11s

4 km/h

03:00

10s

7 km/h

07:00

10s

12 km/h

11:00

9s

15 km/h

Tide intelligence

Read the water.

Tide phase, speed and range interpreted through this break's own profile, with offshore-current context and buoy verification.

Water level now

High · falling

+1.0 m

relative to MSL

Motion

Fast fall

-0.39 m/h

Next turn

Low · 20:00

In 5 hours

24h range

2.3 m

Mesotidal

Offshore current

0.45 km/h

Flowing NW

Spot tide profile · Adaptive

Mid tide · rising

Outside now

A rising mid tide is the conservative baseline for the confined banks and rock edges.

Profile source · Visit Portugal national surf guide

Low

28 Mon · 20:00

-1.1 m

High

29 Tue · 02:00

+1.1 m

Low

29 Tue · 08:00

-1.1 m

High

29 Tue · 15:00

+1.1 m

Tide sync windows

Best upcoming tide phases for this break

Tide fit only · waves and wind scored separately

GoodRising

28 Mon

23:00–01:00 · -0.1 m

GoodRising

29 Tue

11:00–13:00 · +0.3 m

GoodRising

30 Wed

11:00–13:00 · -0.0 m

Tides and currents use the Météo-France global ocean model via Open-Meteo at roughly 8 km resolution. Sea level includes tide and atmospheric effects and is referenced to global mean sea level, not a local chart datum. Coastal accuracy is limited; never use this for navigation.

7-day outlook

Pick your day.

Today

2.3 m

12s · W

Excellent · 96

29 Tue

2.0 m

13s · W

Excellent · 96

30 Wed

2.3 m

11s · W

Excellent · 96

1 Thu

2.2 m

11s · NW

Excellent · 96

2 Fri

2.2 m

13s · W

Excellent · 96

3 Sat

2.2 m

10s · W

Excellent · 96

4 Sun

2.0 m

14s · NW

Excellent · 96

Nearby decision radar

Stay here—or move?

Reading nearby breaks
Ranked from surf quality, confidence, calibration and your profileNearest 4 mapped breaks · no generic popularity score

The break

Beach break

Intermediate. Works best with W–SW swell.

Timing

NE–E offshore

Mid tide · rising. Re-check local observations and the lineup before you paddle out.

Data note

Fallback preview

Wave guidance, tide phase and offshore currents are modelled unless a nearby buoy observation is shown.