Local time
14:00
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:23
Data source
Preview
Wave height
1.8m
Excellent · 96/100Primary swell
1.5 m
12s · W
Wind
3 km/h
Offshore · E
Sea
18.2°C
3/2 mm suit
Tide
Falling
+0.6 m · Low 18:00
Forecast integrity.
Every recommendation carries its source state, model coverage and sampling context.
Model agreement
—
Comparison unavailable
Cross-model consensus
The primary forecast remains available without a cross-model signal.
Wave spread
—
Period spread
—
Horizon
—
Marine
Deterministic preview guidance
Wind & weather
Deterministic preview guidance
Tide context
Modelled preview phase
Ocean station
Independent observation used when a suitable station is available.
Cleaner signal needed
WAIT
Hold for a fresher or better-aligned window.
Why this call.
A conservative read of forecast quality, independent observations, model spread and the exact break profile.
Best window
14:00–17:00
Epic · 1.8–1.9 m · good tide fit
Model agreement
Comparison pending
A single-model forecast is available without a cross-check.
Observed ocean
Checking nearby stations
Looking for an independent real-ocean signal.
Break profile
Spot calibrated
Manu Bay · <1 km model sample · 45% coverage
Higher bars mean a cleaner model signal
Hourly forecast
The next 48 hours
Tide intelligence
Read the water.
Tide phase, speed and range interpreted through this break's own profile, with offshore-current context and buoy verification.
Water level now
High · falling
+0.6 m
relative to MSL
Fast fall
-0.56 m/h
Low · 18:00
In 4 hours
2.3 m
Mesotidal
0.51 km/h
Flowing NW
Spot tide profile · Calibrated
Mid to high
This profile is for Manu Bay; the outer Raglan points have different tide responses.
Profile source · Raglan surf guideLow
28 Mon · 18:00
-1.1 m
High
29 Tue · 00:00
+1.1 m
Low
29 Tue · 06:00
-1.1 m
High
29 Tue · 13:00
+1.1 m
Tide sync windows
Best upcoming tide phases for this break
Tide fit only · waves and wind scored separately
28 Mon
21:00–23:00 · +0.4 m
29 Tue
09:00–11:00 · +0.3 m
29 Tue
14:00–16:00 · +0.4 m
Tides and currents use the Météo-France global ocean model via Open-Meteo at roughly 8 km resolution. Sea level includes tide and atmospheric effects and is referenced to global mean sea level, not a local chart datum. Coastal accuracy is limited; never use this for navigation.
7-day outlook
Pick your day.
Model: SWELLRADAR preview model
Today
2.1 m
12s · W
Excellent · 96
29 Tue
2.1 m
12s · W
Excellent · 96
30 Wed
2.0 m
11s · W
Excellent · 96
Nearby breaks
Keep exploring.
The break
Point break
Intermediate. Works best with W-SW swell.
Timing
Dawn patrol
Usually the cleanest wind window. Re-check local observations before you paddle out.
Data note
Fallback preview
Wave guidance, tide phase and offshore currents are modelled unless a nearby buoy observation is shown.