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Updating conditions · Calibrated break

The Pass

Byron Bay, Australia · Point break

Local time

14:00

Sunrise

—

Sunset

—

Data source

Preview

Wave height

2.1m

Excellent · 88/100

Primary swell

1.7 m

12s · W

Wind

3 km/h

Onshore · E

Sea

18.2°C

3/2 mm suit

Tide

Rising

+0.6 m · High 16:00

Preview guidance updated now

Forecast integrity.

Every recommendation carries its source state, model coverage and sampling context.

45% model coverageNearest sea-grid sample

Model agreement

—

Comparison unavailable

Cross-model consensus

The primary forecast remains available without a cross-model signal.

ECMWFMétéo-FranceNOAA

Wave spread

—

Period spread

—

Horizon

—

Preview

Marine

Deterministic preview guidance

Preview

Wind & weather

Deterministic preview guidance

Preview

Tide context

Modelled preview phase

Checking

Ocean station

Independent observation used when a suitable station is available.

Forecast Trust 2.0

Cleaner signal needed

WAIT

Hold for a fresher or better-aligned window.

Surf 88/100Confidence 37%
Decision layer

Why this call.

A conservative read of forecast quality, independent observations, model spread and the exact break profile.

Now

Best window

17:00–20:00

Excellent · 1.4–1.4 m · outside tide fit

Model agreement

Comparison pending

A single-model forecast is available without a cross-check.

Observed ocean

Checking nearby stations

Looking for an independent real-ocean signal.

Break profile

Spot calibrated

The Pass · <1 km model sample · 45% coverage

Confidence · next 24 hours

Higher bars mean a cleaner model signal

14:00
·
18:00
·
22:00
·
02:00
·
06:00
·
10:00
·
Regional guidanceGold Coast point system guidance

Spot intelligence.

Regional guidance only: the Superbank points share swell but not identical exposure, and sand placement can change the best section quickly.

Profile source · Gold Coast Surf Management Plan
NS

Mapped geometry

Faces SE · 125°

Clean offshore axis NW · All levels profile

Wave

Point break

Point break · local setup pending

Swell window

E–SE

Regional exposure

Clean wind

S–W · break dependent

Regional baseline only

Tide window

Sand and point dependent

Verify at the break

Know before you paddle

Live conditions and local advice always override this profile.

Strong longshore sweepShifting engineered sandbanksDense crowdsCreek and bar currents

Hourly forecast

The next 48 hours

14:00

12s

3 km/h

18:00

13s

7 km/h

22:00

13s

11 km/h

02:00

14s

15 km/h

06:00

13s

14 km/h

10:00

13s

11 km/h

14:00

13s

6 km/h

18:00

12s

3 km/h

22:00

11s

4 km/h

02:00

10s

7 km/h

06:00

10s

12 km/h

10:00

9s

15 km/h

Tide intelligence

Read the water.

Tide phase, speed and range interpreted through this break's own profile, with offshore-current context and buoy verification.

Water level now

High · rising

+0.6 m

relative to MSL

Motion

Fast rise

+0.42 m/h

Next turn

High · 16:00

In 2 hours

24h range

2.3 m

Mesotidal

Offshore current

0.45 km/h

Flowing S

Spot tide profile · Adaptive

Low to mid tide · adaptive

Good now

Adaptive point break baseline. Local calibration is still pending, so treat this as timing guidance rather than spot knowledge.

Profile source · SWELLRADAR break-type model

High

28 Mon · 16:00

+1.1 m

Low

28 Mon · 22:00

-1.1 m

High

29 Tue · 04:00

+1.1 m

Low

29 Tue · 10:00

-1.1 m

Tide sync windows

Best upcoming tide phases for this break

Tide fit only · waves and wind scored separately

GoodRising

28 Mon

23:00–01:00 · -0.1 m

IdealRising

29 Tue

12:00–14:00 · -0.3 m

IdealRising

30 Wed

00:00–02:00 · -0.4 m

Tides and currents use the Météo-France global ocean model via Open-Meteo at roughly 8 km resolution. Sea level includes tide and atmospheric effects and is referenced to global mean sea level, not a local chart datum. Coastal accuracy is limited; never use this for navigation.

7-day outlook

Pick your day.

Today

2.3 m

12s · W

Excellent · 88

29 Tue

2.1 m

12s · W

Excellent · 89

30 Wed

2.3 m

11s · W

Good · 83

The break

Point break

All levels. Works best with E-SE swell.

Timing

S–W · break dependent

Sand and point dependent. Re-check local observations and the lineup before you paddle out.

Data note

Fallback preview

Wave guidance, tide phase and offshore currents are modelled unless a nearby buoy observation is shown.